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ERA5 Hindcast — 2026-05-05

Reconstructed from ERA5 reanalysis — not a live forecast rep

This page is built after the fact from ERA5 reanalysis: it shows what the weather actually did along the corridor on this date, not a forecast or analog that was issued at the time. The live daily practice reps (with analog matching and convergence tracking) begin 2026-05-28 — see the Daily Analysis overview. Past-month setup context only; pre-race research, frozen into the build (RRS 41).

Reanalysis actuals · Newport→Bermuda corridor · T−45 to the 2026 start · « all hindcast days · live Daily Analysis

What the corridor did — 2026-05-05

At the 37°N Gulf Stream crossing, ERA5 has the day's wind moderate — max 15 kn, gusting 21 kn, dominant SSW, mean sea-level pressure 1022 hPa. Peak corridor wave 1.4 m.

Corridor profile (ERA5 actuals)

waypoint wind max gust max dominant dir MSLP
Start / coastal 27 kn 35 kn SSW 1014 hPa
Continental shelf 21 kn 27 kn SSW 1018 hPa
Gulf Stream crossing 15 kn 21 kn SSW 1022 hPa
Post-Stream 13 kn 18 kn ENE 1022 hPa
Bermuda approach 20 kn 26 kn NE 1019 hPa

Wind in knots (10 m), gust = daily max, MSLP = daily mean. Source: ERA5 reanalysis via the Open-Meteo Archive API. Ocean/SST and Gulf Stream wall geometry are observational products, not reconstructed here — see the Gulf Stream pages.